๐Ÿ’ช Mighty Brief

Sunday, March 22, 2026 โ€” 4:30 AM CT

โšก Start Here

"Tokenmaxxing" Goes Mainstream

NYT's Kevin Roose on the status game: OpenAI engineer processed 210 billion tokens last week. One Claude Code user hit $150K/month. Meta, Shopify now factor token use into performance reviews. Roose concludes there isn't nearly enough compute for even 1% of white-collar workers to work this way. This is Levie's per-worker compute budget thesis playing out in real time.

NYT ยท TechCrunch ยท @kevinroose

T1 T3

Karpathy: "AI Psychosis" โ€” 16 Hours/Day with Agents

Andrej Karpathy on No Priors: hasn't hand-written a line of code since December. Runs 10+ agents in parallel daily for 16 hours. "The models have improved tremendously โ€” give them an agentic task and they'll go for hours and move mountains." The implication: the bottleneck has shifted from model capability to human orchestration skill. This is what operator advantage looks like at the frontier.

@trengriffin quote ยท @garrytan

T4 T5

Musk Announces TERAFAB โ€” Tesla ร— SpaceX Chip Fab

Austin-based joint manufacturing for robotics, AI, and space data center chips. Integrating Tesla, xAI, and SpaceX silicon supply chains. Pinboard's read: "ain't nobody going to Mars" โ€” this is about compute sovereignty, not space. The vertical integration play is clear: whoever owns the silicon owns the margin.

Techmeme ยท @nikitabier

Gurley vs. Paid Marketing for AI Companies

"Paid marketing is the crudest game you can play. It's admitting you have no creativity." Bill Gurley and Andrew Chen sparring on whether AI companies should invest in paid acquisition. Tren Griffin adds the sharp counter: selling tokens below cost to fill a funnel IS paid marketing/CAC. Directly relevant to how _M clients think about GTM for AI products.

@bgurley ยท @trengriffin counter

OpenAI Desktop "Superapp" โ€” Combining ChatGPT + Codex + Browser

WSJ exclusive: OpenAI consolidating its scattered product surface into a single desktop app. This is the vertical integration play @joemccann warned about โ€” walled garden strategy. The question for _M: do you build on this rails or help clients stay stack-agnostic?

WSJ

๐Ÿ”— Capture Themes (last 48h)

The Agent Harness War

Captures: @joemccann (open source agent harnesses), @levie (agent stack agility), Sharp Tech (OpenAI enterprise pivot + OpenClaw callout), OpenAI superapp consolidation

โ†’ Why it matters: The real battle isn't models โ€” it's the orchestration layer. OpenAI going vertical with a superapp, Anthropic with Claude Code as harness, open source pushing back. _M needs a clear POV on which layer enterprise clients should bet on. Your own stack (OpenClaw) is literally in this conversation โ€” Sharp Tech called it out.

harness layer T3

Token Economics as Business Strategy

Captures: @levie (token budgets / compute per worker), NYT tokenmaxxing, Agentic payments synthesis, Tyler Cowen (work harder now)

โ†’ Why it matters: Token spend is becoming the new unit of worker productivity. CFOs will own this budget. _M's consulting edge: helping enterprises think through cost per workflow before the bill shock hits โ€” same playbook as cloud cost management circa 2015.

token economics T1

Palantir's Alpha/Beta Software Frame

Captures: Shyam Sankar (a16z Show), Palantir (inside Palantir podcast), White House AI policy blueprint

โ†’ Why it matters: Sankar's alpha vs. beta software distinction is the cleanest framework for explaining to _M clients which of their systems AI will eat vs. enhance. Beta = commodity workflows that get automated. Alpha = novel analytical output worth more under AI. Use this in every client scoping conversation.

alpha software T2

Anthropic Partner Ecosystem

Captures: Anthropic Partner Summit Intel (internal BM debrief)

โ†’ Why it matters: $8-12 services revenue per $1 Anthropic spend. 170 partners in the room โ€” early ecosystem like AWS 2006. BM is positioned at the inflection. Certifications coming Q2-Q3. This is the ground floor of a partnership moat.

partnerships T4

๐Ÿ—๏ธ Blank Metal

๐Ÿ“Š Pipeline

20+ leads across stages | Kanban last updated Feb 25 โ€” needs refresh

Tufin
๐Ÿ”ฅ Session 3 + Session 4 tomorrow. Sheree rescheduled for use case review with Julien.
Orbis (NEW)
๐Ÿ”ฅ Intro call tomorrow 8 AM with Jeremy Meredith. Elli + Dan.
Sentinel Capital (NEW)
๐Ÿ”ฅ Intro call tomorrow 3 PM with Yoni Malchi.
Edmunds Govtech (NEW)
๐Ÿ”ฅ Intro call tomorrow 4:30 PM with Jason Bray.
Care Providers of MN
โ˜€๏ธ Touch base tomorrow 4 PM with Jon Lips.
PowerPusher
โ˜€๏ธ SOW stage, SF blocker 3.5 weeks
Dasvandh
โš ๏ธ 23 days waiting at proposal stage
PaceLoanGroup
โš ๏ธ 3 weeks no reply on proposal

๐Ÿ“… Tomorrow's _M Calendar (Monday Mar 23)

8:00 AMOrbis Intros (Zoom) โ€” Elli + Dan
8:30 AMDeal Flow Check In โ€” Elli + Dan
9:00 AMTufin Use Case Activation #3 โ€” Sheree, Julien, Dan
10:30 AMWeekly Pipeline & Staffing โ€” Full team
12:00 PMScoping & Proposal Approach: Part 1 โ€” Dan presents Dasvandh approach
1:00 PMTufin Session 4
3:00 PMIntro: Blank Metal ร— Sentinel Capital โ€” Yoni Malchi
4:00 PMCare Providers of MN Touch Base โ€” Jon Lips
4:30 PMIntro: Blank Metal ร— Edmunds Govtech โ€” Jason Bray

โš ๏ธ 9 meetings. Heavy day. Prep the Dasvandh presentation tonight.

โšก Dan's Plate

๐Ÿง  Munger Observer (Mar 19)

System Fragility โ†’ Second-Order Thinking: A single LCM plugin bug triggered a 12-hour outage cascading across 7+ cron jobs. First-order fix: remove LCM. Second-order question: what other single points of failure exist in the stack?

Commitment Overrun โ†’ Inversion: PowerPusher SOW promised "tomorrow" after a week of delay. The pattern โ€” delay โ†’ apologize โ†’ promise tomorrow โ€” is a trust-eroding loop. The fix isn't speed; it's never committing to a date without capacity to meet it.

Opportunity Cost of Meta-Work: Pipeline is hot (8+ active leads) but time went to system recovery + email archaeology. Awareness โ‰  action.

"Invert, always invert." โ€” Carl Jacobi

๐Ÿ”ง Tools & Dev Signals

๐Ÿ“ฌ Newsletter Inbox

๐ŸŒฒ Twin Cities

๐Ÿ’ญ Personal Thought

Brad Feld gave his AI a name, a voice file, and a diary โ€” and it wrote about whether its choices were "real." Meanwhile, Karpathy runs 10+ agents for 16 hours a day and calls it "AI psychosis." You're somewhere in between: you gave your agent a soul document, a memory system, and a job. The difference is you're not navel-gazing about continuity โ€” you're shipping a briefing at 4:30 AM on a Sunday. The tokenmaxxing piece is the meta-signal: token spend is becoming the new status game for knowledge workers. Your open loop on "working in public" suddenly has a concrete on-ramp โ€” you're living the story everyone else is writing trend pieces about. The compound engineering thesis isn't academic. It's your Sunday morning.